Mastering the Bitcoin Boom: Diverse Investment Paths
Mastering the Bitcoin Boom: Diverse Investment Paths
[](/u/BitcoinMacro/)
Mastering the Bitcoin Boom: Diverse Investment Paths
[INDEX:BTCUSD](/symbols/BTCUSD/)Bitcoin
In this idea, we will explore different ways to amplify gains in a Bitcoin Bul. We will look at potential advanced tactics to capture further returns. My assumption is that Bitcoin is already in a bull market; however, the concepts I will talk about here will be valuable regardless of when the bull market begins.
Bitcoin will most likely outperform most crypto assets due to the regulatory uncertainty and the potential upcoming ETF, so we don’t think it’s worth holding most altcoins out there. Yet there are some exciting ways to bet on Bitcoin indirectly to try to capture further upside, including altcoins.
To do that, we will first look at specific key parameters that can serve as clues as to what we should be looking for in the assets we want to bet on:
A) The beneficiaries of ordinals and the usage of the Bitcoin BlockChain, B) Coins/Tokens with a lot of BTC on their Balance sheet, C) Companies with BTC on their Balance sheet, D) Platforms that give access to BTC trading, E) Companies waiting for their BTC to be returned. F) Those that will benefit from an ETF.
1) Bitcoin miners. If the Bitcoin blockchain sees high usage, fees will go up, and miners will profit massively. As BTC rallies, more and more people will want to use Ordinals and Inscriptions and look for new ways to use Bitcoin. Miners also have BTC on their balance sheets, so their value will appreciate even further. WGMI is an attractive ETF that someone could buy as a bet on Bitcoin Miners, which looks pretty bullish after a massive collapse in 2022.
Most alt-layer 1 protocols are dead and aren’t coming back. Currently, there aren’t many Bitcoin Layer 2 protocols. The only ones are Stacks and Rootstock (STX and RIF), both looking decent vs BTC.
b) Tezos, Lisk, and Eos have a ton of BTC on their balance sheet. Based on my calculations, their market caps are smaller than the value of the BTC they hold. If their teams decide to return some of that BTC to holders, the prices of those projects will skyrocket. All these projects that are in development for 5+ years but haven’t gained any reactions. They are looking quite bearish, yet the lower their ratios vs BTC go, the more attractive they are as a speculative buy, as they could easily double or triple in value.
c) Microstrategy’s Market Cap is worth the same as all the BTC on its balance sheet. It’s currently at a 500m loss from the purchases and has a ton of debt; however, if BTC rallies and Microstategy finds ways to build on Bitcoin, its stock price has no ceiling. It’s like a leveraged Bitcoin play with no risk of being liquidated.
d) Coinbase has seen its competition rekt. Bittrex gone. Binance US is out. Gemini is suffering and can’t truly compete with Coinbase. Coinbase plans to expand abroad and even launch its Ethereum Layer 2 protocol. Most FUD around regulations has already been priced in, and any positive news will disproportionately affect the price. As the exchange will be used as the custody solution for Blackrock’s ETF, it will directly benefit from the ETF, despite potentially fewer people trading Bitcoin on it. ARKK holds most of the stock’s supply and is unlikely to sell soon.
e) LEO – This is Bitfinex’s exchange token. If and when the US gov will return to Bitfinex the BTC it got from the Bitfinex hack back in 2016, that BTC will be used to buy back LEO tokens. When the FBI caught the hackers in 2022, LEOBTC jumped 85% on the assumption that the coins would be given back. I believe that, eventually, these coins will be returned and that LEOBTC will trade near or even above its ATHs. From here, that means a 100% gain or more.
f) GBTC – As mentioned several times in my previous ideas, I believe an ETF will be approved, or something else will occur that will close the current GBTC discount. GBTC is a Bitcoin Trust trading at a 35-40% discount to NAV. That means that if that GBTC starts trading to its actual NAV, it will go up 70-80% from here relative to Bitcoin.
Bitcoin will most likely outperform most crypto assets due to the regulatory uncertainty and the potential upcoming ETF, so we don’t think it’s worth holding most altcoins out there. Yet there are some exciting ways to bet on Bitcoin indirectly to try to capture further upside, including altcoins.
To do that, we will first look at specific key parameters that can serve as clues as to what we should be looking for in the assets we want to bet on:
A) The beneficiaries of ordinals and the usage of the Bitcoin BlockChain, B) Coins/Tokens with a lot of BTC on their Balance sheet, C) Companies with BTC on their Balance sheet, D) Platforms that give access to BTC trading, E) Companies waiting for their BTC to be returned. F) Those that will benefit from an ETF.
1) Bitcoin miners. If the Bitcoin blockchain sees high usage, fees will go up, and miners will profit massively. As BTC rallies, more and more people will want to use Ordinals and Inscriptions and look for new ways to use Bitcoin. Miners also have BTC on their balance sheets, so their value will appreciate even further. WGMI is an attractive ETF that someone could buy as a bet on Bitcoin Miners, which looks pretty bullish after a massive collapse in 2022.
Most alt-layer 1 protocols are dead and aren’t coming back. Currently, there aren’t many Bitcoin Layer 2 protocols. The only ones are Stacks and Rootstock (STX and RIF), both looking decent vs BTC.
b) Tezos, Lisk, and Eos have a ton of BTC on their balance sheet. Based on my calculations, their market caps are smaller than the value of the BTC they hold. If their teams decide to return some of that BTC to holders, the prices of those projects will skyrocket. All these projects that are in development for 5+ years but haven’t gained any reactions. They are looking quite bearish, yet the lower their ratios vs BTC go, the more attractive they are as a speculative buy, as they could easily double or triple in value.
c) Microstrategy’s Market Cap is worth the same as all the BTC on its balance sheet. It’s currently at a 500m loss from the purchases and has a ton of debt; however, if BTC rallies and Microstategy finds ways to build on Bitcoin, its stock price has no ceiling. It’s like a leveraged Bitcoin play with no risk of being liquidated.
d) Coinbase has seen its competition rekt. Bittrex gone. Binance US is out. Gemini is suffering and can’t truly compete with Coinbase. Coinbase plans to expand abroad and even launch its Ethereum Layer 2 protocol. Most FUD around regulations has already been priced in, and any positive news will disproportionately affect the price. As the exchange will be used as the custody solution for Blackrock’s ETF, it will directly benefit from the ETF, despite potentially fewer people trading Bitcoin on it. ARKK holds most of the stock’s supply and is unlikely to sell soon.
e) LEO – This is Bitfinex’s exchange token. If and when the US gov will return to Bitfinex the BTC it got from the Bitfinex hack back in 2016, that BTC will be used to buy back LEO tokens. When the FBI caught the hackers in 2022, LEOBTC jumped 85% on the assumption that the coins would be given back. I believe that, eventually, these coins will be returned and that LEOBTC will trade near or even above its ATHs. From here, that means a 100% gain or more.
f) GBTC – As mentioned several times in my previous ideas, I believe an ETF will be approved, or something else will occur that will close the current GBTC discount. GBTC is a Bitcoin Trust trading at a 35-40% discount to NAV. That means that if that GBTC starts trading to its actual NAV, it will go up 70-80% from here relative to Bitcoin.
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